Thursday, May 12, 2011

Strategic Default: Inconceivable Assumptions Suddenly Conceivable

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May 12, 2011 2:06PM

Strategic Default: Inconceivable Assumptions Suddenly Conceivable

Until recently it was generally believed that only a small fraction of Americans would willingly choose to skip their monthly mortgage payment, aka "strategically default", when they found themselves stuck in a negative equity situation. The logic driving this belief was based on the notion that borrowers wouldn't want to damage their credit profile or deal with the social stigma surrounding a public foreclosure. The assumption that most underwater borrowers will continue making their monthly payments...

May 12, 2011 10:34AM

Margin Squeeze Hits Headlines. False Start Baked into Bonds

President Obama was on CBS this morning discussing the state of the U.S. economy. In the Q&A session Obama cited the weak housing market and high gasoline prices as the biggest "headwinds" toward economic growth. Clearly Main Street is already aware of the pressures being exerted on its wallet by rising food and energy costs, Wall Street on the other hand is just now beginning to accept that observation as a legitimate threat. Further evidence of the margin squeeze was presented this morning...


Micro News

3:48 PM:

Auction Bullets Dodged. CPI and Sentiment Tomorrow

10:59 AM:

Reprice Targets: Stuck in the Middle

9:49 AM:

Fed's Plosser: All About Inflation After QE2

8:40 AM:

Obama: Housing and Energy Costs are Biggest "Headwinds"

8:37 AM:

Fed's Plosser: Expectedly Hawkish

8:33 AM:

ECON: Jobless Claims in Line With Consensus

8:32 AM:

ECON: Retail Sales +0.5 pct Versus +0.6 pct Consensus

8:31 AM:

ECON: PPI + 0.8 pct Versus +0.6 pct Consensus

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Today's Comments

Frank Ceizyk

"Here is our big chance to provide proactive input: Know Before You Owe: Designing a New Disclosure Written by Patricia McCoy http://www.consumerfinance..."

Gus Floropoulos

"interesting how history repeats itself. sell in May....go away is also in process as well. thanks for the charts and info"

lisamelby1

"Until a floor is set, however unpopular the fix, BY assisting homeowners that are On Time with payments yet underwater this problem WILL persist and another..."

Today's Q&A

Anonymous

"Is real estate tax Paid "in advance" or for the past..."

Anonymous

"I have excellent credit rating/score/history but low income,..."

Anonymous

"I stopped paying my mortgage for 9 months but it has been a year..."

Today's Forum Discussions

vj

"Hi, My husband is in his 6th year h1b visa. I 'm working from last year. His visa expires by this august. He got his i140 cleared. We have applied..."

Brookes Bruno

"www.MoreSalesToday.com gives Attorney's the ability to take 4 post dated checks within 90 days from loan mod clients. In return you will be FUNDED..."

Jaclyn Emma

"The short version is that we prevent inaccurate fees before they can result in a loss. Our lenders are staying in compliance and still preventing erosion..."