Thursday, October 20, 2011

Mortgage Rates Back to Pattern of Volatility

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Oct 20, 2011 4:45PM

Mortgage Rates Back to Pattern of Volatility

Apparently, we jinxed the market yesterday by referring to recent stability... Apologies on that, but the damage is minimal... Mortgage Rates worsened slightly as trading in the secondary mortgage market and beyond grew increasingly volatile. Best-Execution offerings may be the same or slightly higher than yesterday, but if the rate remains the same, closing costs will likely have increased. Chalk the market volatility up to the situation in Europe and the impending summit this weekend (but then...

Oct 20, 2011 5:06PM

Revisiting Afternoon Charts. Bonds Weaker, Trends Hold

Just a quick post tonight, mostly to update you on how the charts that we discussed this afternoon ended up panning out by 5pm. Long story short, the trends continue to be valid, but sadly, that merely means that MBS stopped selling off when reaching 101-00. Quite a few reprices for the worse before the day was done, but no real damage done to the broader trends as can be seen below, beginning with the 101-00 ground-holding in 3.5's. We also looked at the 2.15+ level in 10yr notes, and while it did...


Micro News

4:20 PM:

CAR: California Pending Home Sales Lower in September

4:00 PM:

MBS Languishing After Hours. Tomorrow Brings Only Fed-Speak

2:59 PM:

Greek Parliament Approves Austerity Law

1:20 PM:

Potential Reprices For The Worse, Unless Steep Sell-Off Abates

10:42 AM:

MBS Holding Ground Despite Stronger Philly Fed Data

10:39 AM:

NAHB: Presidential Hopefuls Must Address Housing Issues

10:37 AM:

Freddie Mac: Fixed Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

10:31 AM:

ECON: Existing Home Sales Down in Sept, but Up Year-Over-Year

Around the Web

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Today's Comments

Jon

"Thanks Andrew. Do we have any read on the percentage of Bulls vs. Bears for Bonds? You can' help but think that Euroland is going to do some kind of..."

Andrew Horowitz

"Jon, if you go back to the 13th it looks like we could be in the beginning stages of an upward 5th wave. Although also looking at it under short term technicals..."

Jon

"Can someone apply a bit of Elliot Wave theory to the recent trends in 10's and MBS?"

Today's Q&A

"How long will a mortgage default sit on my credit?"

"Can someone explain what a second mortgage is?"

"How does leasing a car effect qualifying for a home mortgage?"