Wednesday, May 4, 2011

MBS Ledge: Shift in Production Coupon Potentially in Progress

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May 4, 2011 12:09PM

MBS Ledge: Shift in Production Coupon Potentially in Progress

Both benchmark rates and production MBS coupon prices have bounced around a large yet well-defined range so far in 2011. There have been moments when it seemed like rates were doomed to breakout in the wrong direction, there have been times when it felt like a sustained rally was in the works. At one end of the spectrum we find the potential for snowball buying as a flattening yield curve forces real money investors to add longer dated debt to better match asset cash flows vs. liability cash flows...

May 4, 2011 2:36PM

Mortgage Rates: Early Signs of Significant Shift

After spending the first four months of 2011 in a tight range, we may be witnessing the early stages of a significant shift lower in home loan borrowing costs. But these signs are only the beginning of what might evolve into a sustained rally in the bond market. Nothing has been confirmed. Preliminary signs are encouraging, but could very well be a "false start". UPDATED CURRENT MARKET : The "Best Execution" conventional 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 4.875%. If you are looking to move down to 4...


Micro News

12:56 PM:

Buy the Rumor, Sell the News? Forced Buying Aids Rally

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ECON: ISM Non-Manufacturing Weaker

9:07 AM:

ECON: Planned Layoffs Decline 12 Percent in April

9:04 AM:

Treasury Leaves Auction Amounts Unchanged

8:57 AM:

Non-Agency Prepays: High LTV Loans Paid Down

8:57 AM:

Fed's Rosengren: Housing Worse Than Hoped

8:53 AM:

Hedging Basics: Failed MBS Trades Still Elevated

8:20 AM:

ECON: ADP Jobs Data Below Expectations

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Today's Comments

Adam Quinones

"Today's interest rate rally has been fueled by bearish traders who are covering their short positions as benchmarks rally through technical resistance..."

Adam Quinones

"wholesale/broker pricing definitely more aggressive than banker rate sheets right now."

John White

"I feel a change in the wind coming....a decent correction in stocks. Then QE3."

Today's Q&A

Anonymous

"Is real estate tax Paid "in advance" or for the past..."

Anonymous

"I have excellent credit rating/score/history but low income,..."

Anonymous

"I stopped paying my mortgage for 9 months but it has been a year..."

Today's Forum Discussions

Gus Dahlgren

"Loan Scenario View All Post A Scenario Loan State: Michigan Loan County: --- Loan Type: Refinance (Rate and Term) Loan Amount: 210068,450,000 Property Value..."

James Brooks

"Normal 0 MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso..."

FC McGee

"Hi everyone, I need advice from you guys on how the interest rates work. I'm going with Wells Fargo and I've locked in my interest rate at 4.25..."