Thursday, July 17, 2014

Daily Newsletter: Mortgage Rates Appreciably Lower After Geopolitical Headlines; Foreclosures Hit Milestone; Housing Starts Break Important Trend

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30 Year Fixed
4.16%   -0.05
15 Year Fixed
3.31%   -0.04
10YR Treasury
2.44%   -0.0883
FNMA 30YR 3.5
102.50   +0.41
FNMA 15YR 2.5
103.42   +0.20
Thursday July 17, 2014
Mortgage Rate Watch - 5:17PM
Mortgage rates moved more decisively lower today, though not for any stable or happy reasons. Such is often the case with interest rates. As economic conditions worsen or as terrible ...
MND NewsWire - 10:57AM
It has been a long eight years, but foreclosure activity appears to have returned to levels last seen before the housing downturn was born in 2006. RealtyTrac said today that the 2 ...
MND NewsWire - 10:48AM
All three residential construction indicators fell in June according to the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Housing permits and housing starts ...
MBS Commentary - 5:04PM
Today offered a triple or possibly quadruple-whammy for bond markets, almost exclusively in the form of overseas events. The weakest among these was the notion that yesterday's announcement ...
MBS Live Chat - 1:43PM
"MG, would you mind expounding on that comment?..."
MBS Live Chat - 1:46PM
"Let's begin by recalling an analogy we sometimes use of the 'Master and the Dog.' The overall momentum in bond markets is like the Master. The best benchmark we have for that is 10yr yields, which is why we talk about them so much. MBS are like the dog (and no, there's no deeper meaning here). The master..."
MBS Live Chat - 1:46PM
"In this analogy, the "leash" is stretchy..."
MBS Live Chat - 1:47PM
"when MBS are underperforming, they're like the dog pulling back reluctantly on the leash. Right now it's pretty stretched. If the master continues to walk forward, it could make for a relatively rapid move forward by the dog...."
MBS Live Chat - 1:47PM
"That's what I meant by "slingshot" if broader markets improve...."
MBS Live Chat - 1:48PM
"conversely, if broader markets lose ground, MBS will have already been lagging behind, and thus potentially not lose ground at the same pace...."
MBS Live Chat - 1:53PM
"thank you MG, that really helped..."
MBS Live Chat - 1:53PM
"MG so timely just shared analogy w/client who inquired about 10yr/MBS relationship..."
MBS Live Chat - 1:55PM
"Still don't trust this rally just yet. Need some follow through IMO. I think for short timers it's a lock opportunity...."
MBS Live Chat - 1:56PM
"yeah, it's still pretty sudden. And just because MBS are better positioned to soak up weakness doesn't mean a run to 2.66 in Treasuries wouldn't hurt..."
Today's Rates
Best Execution
Rate Change
30 Yr FRM 4.16% -0.05
15 Yr FRM 3.31% -0.04
FHA 30 Year Fixed 3.75% +0.00
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.00% -0.06
5/1 Yr ARM 3.22% -0.03
Average Mortgage Rates
Rate Points Change
FHFA *
15 Yr. Fixed 3.56% 1.13 -0.10
30 Yr. Fixed 4.37% 1.39 -0.16
MBA **
30 Yr. Fixed 4.32% 0.16 +0.04
15 Yr. Fixed 3.40% 0.22 -0.02
30 Yr. Jumbo 4.24% 0.16 -0.02
30 Yr. FHA 4.02% -0.03 +0.03
5/1 ARM 3.40% 0.22 -0.02
Freddie Mac **
30 Yr. Fixed 4.13% 0.60 -0.02
15 Yr. Fixed 3.23% 0.50 -0.01
1 Yr. ARM 2.39% 0.40 -0.01
5/1 Yr. ARM 2.97% 0.40 -0.02
* FHFA averages are updated monthly.
** Mortgage Bankers Association (each Wednesday) and Freddie Mac (each Thursday) averages are updated weekly.
Secondary Markets
MBS
Price Change
30YR FNMA 3.0 98.72 +0.52
30YR FNMA 3.5 102.50 +0.41
30YR GNMA 3.0 100.73 +0.39
30YR GNMA 3.5 103.73 +0.47
15YR FNMA 3.0 103.42 +0.20
15YR FNMA 2.5 101.13 +0.27
Treasuries
Yield Change
2 YR 0.4516% -0.0363
5 YR 1.6200% -0.0776
10 YR 2.4440% -0.0883
30 YR 3.2620% -0.0779
Prices as of: 7/17/2014 4:31PM EST
MBS and Treasury data provided by Thomson Reuters.
Mortgage News Daily and MBS Live! are exclusive re-distributors of Real Time Thomson Reuters Mortgage Information.
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